Chasing a flush on-line – Sometimes the numbers just do not add up!

There’s an age old debate in poker – really should you chase a flush? First of all we must define what we imply here by "chasing a flush on the net."

Chasing anything in Holdem poker is the practice of betting to stay in a palm in the hope which you will make a better hand, even despite the fact that you may have absolutely nothing at the time. So chasing a flush signifies betting which you will have the card or card that you should complete your flush hands about the turn or river. You can’t chase a flush prior to the flop because at that time you only have 2 cards so the flush is not on.

So let us say you are wagering one of the massive poker web-sites on the net, you’ve been dealt the Ace and 9 of spades and you have paid to see the flop.

The flop is 2s seven-s King of diamonds and one of your opponents comes out gambling strongly with a fair sized increase, what do you do?

1st of all ask your self what variety of hand you happen to be up against. The possibilities are triples, one more flush draw, a pair of Kings or a total bluff, so as it stands you’re only winning against the bluff with your Ace. On the other hand in the event you hit a spade in the last two cards you may have the nut flush and could only lose to a full house or 4 of a kind.

On the face of it you may assume that statistically you’ve about a 50-50 possibility of hitting your spade, after all there’s two cards to come and 4 suits so there must be about a half probability, right?


You already have 2 of the spades in your hands and there’s one more 2 showing about the table, so you know five cards and four of them are spades. That means you may have 9 spades left obtainable out of the forty seven cards you haven’t seen, which is only a forty two per-cent possibility of catching your flush.

When you do wager around the turn and do not produce your flush, what do you do then? You have most likely now become pot-committed, you have put so a lot into the pot that you simply might as nicely wager again about the river unless there is a major increase or all-in in opposition to you, except now your chances of generating the flush have dropped dramatically to only 21 per cent.

Except what of that other factor, the mysterious web poker syndrome? What I imply by that is while you statistically have a forty two percent possibility of creating a flush, is that what in fact happens in reality? If you wagered the very same palm in the exact same online poker table 100 occasions would you acquire a flush 42 instances? From my personal encounter I doubt it. Flushes seem to come around lots much less often than 42 out of 100 occasions!

That’s just my own opinion and I’m sure the poker sites would tell you a various story, but the way I see it’s 42 % is the very Ideal you’re ever going to acquire and you may possibly nicely have a good deal less opportunity than that of hitting your flush.

Bottom line? Chasing a flush on line is a extremely risky strategy that sucks you in and over commits you, with out giving you sufficient of a likelihood of pulling out the succeeding hand.